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https://forms.aweber.com/form/88/36954688.htm

here is a sample portion of what it is about:

DON'T BE CAUGHT IN THE HYPE OF MLB ELITE TEAMS:

We are coming up on the 1/3 mark of the MLB season. Soon, MLB will take center stage, as the NBA playoffs are down to 4-7 games. Many will be opting into the MLB betting marketplace, and what they will see and hear, is the arguments of who is the best team in baseball. Many will point to the Houston Astros and their .698 winning percentage, an ultra elite team to this point, and heading toward 113 wins.

Currently there are 5 teams that are better than .600, but history tells us most of them will not stay there, but have now had the time to build a public reputation of being elite, and will be priced accordingly. How do I know this? History has proven it.

Since 2003 there have been 36 teams that had a winning percentage of .600 through 50 games.
Since 2003 there have been 13 teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better through 162 games.

That is a cumulative erosion of 64% of these teams, and that percentage is even higher, because a few teams were below .600 through 50 games and went on to be .600 by the end of the season.

So here are the details:

Play against any .600 or better MLB team to a line of -200 or less, from game 50 on:

Team winning percentage followed by blind ROI playing against them:

Win rate is better or equal to: ROI betting against:
.580 negative
.590 +1.2
.600 +2.7
.610 +3.0
.620 +1.6
.630 +1.4
.640 +3.8
.650 +3.8
.660 +11.6
.670 +22.0
.680 +47.2
.690 +38.1
.700+ +72.7

I don't think much need be said from here, look at where Houston is on this chart! Elite yes, wanna play on them? I don't think so!
 

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